Preflop Win Rates: Starting Hand Chart for Beginners

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Preflop Win Rates: Starting Hand Chart for Beginners

Learn preflop win rates in Texas Hold’em with a beginner starting hand chart. See approximate equity for AA, KK, QQ, AK, pocket pairs, suited hands, offsuit hands, and common all-in matchups.

What are preflop win rates?

Preflop win rate means the approximate chance that a starting hand will win before any community cards are dealt. In Texas Hold'em, this is often called preflop equity.

For example, AA has about 85% equity against one random hand. That does not mean AA always wins. It means that, before the flop, AA is a huge favorite against a random opponent.

Preflop win rates are useful because they help beginners understand starting hand strength. But they are only a starting point. Position, stack size, opponent ranges, and postflop play still matter.

Beginner starting hand chart

The numbers below are rough heads-up estimates against one random hand. Exact equity changes depending on suits, blockers, dead cards, and the opponent's actual range.

HandApprox. equity vs random handBeginner note
AA85%Best starting hand
KK82%Very strong, but watch for aces
QQ80%Premium pair
JJ77%Strong, but overcards make postflop harder
TT75%Strong medium-high pair
9972%Good pair, many overcards can appear
AKs67%Best non-pair hand
AKo65%Strong, but still needs to hit often
AQs66%Strong suited broadway
AQo64%Strong, but can be dominated by AK
KQs63%Playable suited broadway
2250%Small pair; often plays as a set-mining hand
72o33%One of the weakest starting hands

The main takeaway: pocket pairs are strong preflop, and premium pairs are far ahead of most hands. Strong unpaired hands like AK are valuable, but they are not as dominant as AA or KK.

Pocket pair win rates

A pocket pair means both hole cards have the same rank: AA, KK, 77, 22, and so on.

HandApprox. equity vs random handHow to think about it
AA85%The best preflop hand
KK82%Nearly always a premium value hand
QQ80%Strong but sensitive to A/K-high boards
JJ77%Strong, but often tricky after the flop
TT75%Strong enough to play aggressively in many spots
9972%Good, but many overcards can come
8869%Can win unimproved or make a set
7766%More board-dependent
6663%Often needs favorable boards
5560%Mostly valuable when it makes a set
4457%Small pair, position matters
3354%Usually set-mining style hand
2250%Close to even against random hands

Small pocket pairs look better in raw equity than they feel in practice. The problem is that they are hard to play after the flop when they do not make a set.

Suited hand win rates

Suited hands have two cards of the same suit, such as A♠ K♠. They usually have slightly more equity than the same offsuit hand because they can make flushes.

HandApprox. equityBeginner note
AKs67%Best suited broadway hand
AQs66%Strong top-pair and flush potential
AJs65%Strong, but can be dominated
ATs64%Playable in many positions
KQs63%Strong connected suited broadway
KJs61%Can make strong hands, watch domination
QJs60%Good playability
JTs57%Strong draw potential
T9s55%Good connector, position helps
98s54%More speculative

Suitedness often adds only a few percentage points of equity, but it also improves playability. Hands that can make straights and flushes can win large pots when they connect well.

Offsuit hand win rates

Offsuit hands have two different suits. They usually have less equity and less playability than their suited versions.

HandApprox. equityBeginner note
AKo65%Strong but not a made hand
AQo64%Strong, but can be dominated by AK
AJo63%Position matters a lot
KQo61%Playable, but domination is possible
KJo59%Risky from early position
QJo58%Easy to overplay
JTo55%Better from late position
T9o52%Much weaker than T9s
72o33%Usually fold

Broadway cards look attractive, but offsuit broadways can be dangerous. If you make top pair with a worse kicker, you can lose a big pot to a better top pair.

Common preflop all-in matchups

These matchups help beginners understand why preflop poker can feel swingy.

MatchupApprox. favoriteWhat it means
AA vs KKAA ~82%KK is strong but still far behind AA
AA vs AKsAA ~87%AK blocks an ace, but AA is still dominant
KK vs AKKK ~70%AK often needs to hit an ace
QQ vs AKQQ ~54%A classic race, pair is slight favorite
JJ vs AKJJ ~54%Similar coin-flip style spot
TT vs AQTT ~55%Pair vs two overcards
AK vs AQAK ~73%AQ is dominated by AK
99 vs 98s99 ~78%Pair is far ahead, suited connector has outs

This is why AK is powerful but not invincible. Against many pocket pairs, AK is close to a coin flip.

Multiway pots reduce win rates

The charts above mostly describe one hand against one random hand. When more opponents enter the pot, your chance to win goes down.

AA is the easiest example:

SituationAA win-rate idea
Against 1 playerAbout 85%
Against 2 playersOften in the 70% range
Against 3 playersOften in the 60% range
Against 4+ playersLower again

This is one reason strong hands usually want to raise preflop. Raising builds the pot when you are ahead and can reduce the number of opponents.

Why win rate is not the same as profitability

Preflop equity is useful, but it does not tell the whole story. Poker decisions are about expected value, not only raw win percentage.

Position matters

The same hand can be profitable on the button and a fold under the gun. Late position gives you more information and lets you realize equity more easily.

Ranges matter

AA has 85% against a random hand, but your opponent is not always random. If a tight player 4-bets, their range is much stronger than random.

Playability matters

JTs and T9s may not have premium raw equity, but they can make straights and flushes. That makes them easier to play in position than many weak offsuit hands.

Domination matters

AQ looks strong, but against AK it is dominated. If both players make top pair with an ace, AQ can lose because of the kicker.

How beginners should use a starting hand chart

Do not try to memorize every number. Use preflop win rates as buckets.

Equity bucketExample handsBeginner approach
80%+AA, KK, QQPremium hands; raise and 3-bet for value
65-79%JJ, TT, AK, AQStrong hands; play aggressively but respect action
55-64%KQ, QJ, medium pairsPosition-dependent
50-54%Small pairs, connectorsNeed position and postflop plan
Under 40%72o, weak offsuit trashUsually fold

The beginner goal is simple:

  • Play premium hands confidently.
  • Avoid weak offsuit hands.
  • Respect early-position raises.
  • Use position before expanding your range.

FAQ

What is the preflop win rate of AA?

AA has about 85% equity against one random hand. It is the best starting hand in Texas Hold'em, but it can still lose.

What is the preflop win rate of AK?

AKs has about 67% equity against one random hand, while AKo is around 65%. Against a pocket pair like QQ or JJ, AK is often close to a coin flip.

Is AK better than a pocket pair?

It depends on the pair. AK is far behind AA and KK, close against hands like QQ or JJ, and ahead of many non-pair hands. Raw equity is only part of the decision.

What is the worst starting hand in Texas Hold'em?

72 offsuit is often used as the classic worst hand because it is low, disconnected, and offsuit. It has poor equity and poor playability.

Should beginners play only high-equity hands?

Beginners should start tight, but not blindly follow equity alone. Position, previous action, stack depth, and postflop playability also matter.

Summary

Preflop win rates help you understand starting hand strength before the flop. AA is about 85% against one random hand, KK about 82%, QQ about 80%, and AKs about 67%.

Use these numbers as a guide, not a rulebook. Strong preflop poker comes from combining hand strength with position, ranges, stack sizes, and a plan for later streets.

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